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270 RESULTS

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  NEGATIVE NEGATIVE IS POSITIVE 08-22-2016

  Housing is a small part of the larger economic picture, contributing only about 5% to GDP (although includingall the ancillary and related services ...

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  2ND QUARTER 2016 - FISSION 07-26-2016

  University of Chicago is known for its excellent academics, not so much for its athletic prowess. But that wasnt always the case. One hundred years ...

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  RUPTURE 06-28-2016

  [nota bene: this is a long one; if you don't have time, just skip to the summary at the end. I promise, no hard feelings.]The political experts ...

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  LA JUSTICE? 06-07-2016

  I'm not French, and I'm not a lawyer. So I am certainly not a French lawyer. These facts may be obvious, but I state them as a possible explanation ...

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  FLOATING OIL 05-24-2016

  Oil has had a nice recovery this year (see graph for Brent, YTD), up about 18% to over $48/barrel today. Of course, this is still well below the ...

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  HOUSING HAS LEGS 05-24-2016

  Surprisingly strong housing numbers out this morning: new single-family homes rose 16.6% in April to an annual pace of 616,000 (see chart below), well ...

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  INSIDE THE TRIANGLE 05-23-2016

  Complexity makes investing so challenging. Unlike the pure sciences, there are no hard truths in investing, no discoverable axioms that determine ...

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  2016 - 1ST QUARTER COMMENTARY 05-17-2016

  To read more, download the full 16 page PDF: ...

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  MANAGING HOME BIAS: DEFENDING THE VALUE OF GLOBAL EQUITIES 05-10-2016

  Home Bias is the tendency for investors to overallocate to domestic investments regardless of the benefits of global diversification in terms of both ...

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  1ST QUARTER 2016 - FOUNDATIONS 05-04-2016

  Some of the most impressive accomplishments in human history were born of vanity, some rose from sheer curiosity, some were driven by commerce, others ...

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  STILL IN NEUTRAL 04-07-2016

  The first quarter began with a bang and ended with a whimper. At least, that's the message from the VIX (volatility indexsee below). Bouncing around ...

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  LABORING 03-24-2016

  In some respects, this is a golden age for labor. The unemployment rate has dropped to 4.9% from a high of 10% in October 2009. It's not quite as low ...

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  IN A HOLE 03-04-2016

  Two months ago, I offered some hope that drop we saw on the first day of 2016 was a good omen for the rest of the month and year ...

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  4TH QUARTER 2015 - BOUNDARIES 02-03-2016

  Painting has been a human endeavor probably since we developed opposable thumbs. Traditionally, painting filled one of two purposes: either ...

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  DIGGING OUT 01-25-2016

  The eastern United States was buried in snowstorm Jonas this weekend, from 42 inches (more than a meter for our non-US friends) in West Virginia to (a ...

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  APRèS MOI LE DéLUGE 01-05-2016

  In more ways than one.We greeted the new year with an actual deluge, at least here in California, as the long-promised El Niño swooped in with ...

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  A YEAR-END THOUGHT 12-31-2015

  This week, my college basketball team visited southern California, and I was lucky enough to spend some time with them over the past few days. I ...

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  PATH TO PROGRESS 12-08-2015

  Zimbabwe is a country of 14 million people. I've never been there, and I can't recall if I've ever met anyone from there, but I'm sure that the vast ...

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  O PAIS DO FUTURO 11-30-2015

  Charles de Gaulle (photobelow)imperious, disdainful, utterly French (and venerated for it in France)noted 50 years ago that "Brazil was the country of ...

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  UNDER MY THUMB 11-20-2015

  As Mick Jagger sang (screeched?) 50 years ago. The song was about turning the tables on a domineering woman (The girl who once had me down).A bit ...

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  FAIRY TALES 11-19-2015

  The technology bubble of the late 1990s is a distant memory for most investors, and an ignorance for the rest. But back then, companies were raising ...

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  PATRICIA 10-23-2015

  It's another beautiful day in Santa Monica: blue skies, a few high wisps of stratus clouds. But 1500 miles south of here is the strongest hurricane ...

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  I'M SWISS 10-13-2015

  No question, this has been a challenging year. Virtually every financial asset class is struggling. Stocks are down, bonds are down, gold is down, oil ...

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  URSA MINOR 10-02-2015

  The bears are stirring. Not yet rampaging, but there's a lot of red ink across most markets.Today's jobs report was weak. No honey-coating it, it was ...

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